Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000105 0.000117 0.000131 0.000146 0.000163 0.000182 0.000203
2024-10-06 0.000087 0.000104 0.000123 0.000147 0.000175 0.000207 0.000246
2024-10-13 0.000074 0.000093 0.000116 0.000146 0.000183 0.000228 0.000286
2024-10-20 0.000065 0.000085 0.000111 0.000147 0.000193 0.000251 0.000332
2024-10-27 0.000057 0.000079 0.000108 0.000148 0.000203 0.000276 0.000379
2024-11-03 0.000050 0.000072 0.000102 0.000146 0.000208 0.000293 0.000420
2024-11-10 0.000046 0.000069 0.000100 0.000148 0.000219 0.000320 0.000475
2024-11-17 0.000041 0.000064 0.000096 0.000147 0.000225 0.000339 0.000520
2024-11-24 0.000038 0.000060 0.000094 0.000148 0.000233 0.000361 0.000572
2024-12-01 0.000034 0.000056 0.000090 0.000146 0.000237 0.000378 0.000616
2024-12-08 0.000031 0.000053 0.000087 0.000145 0.000241 0.000396 0.000662
2024-12-15 0.000029 0.000050 0.000084 0.000145 0.000247 0.000416 0.000714
2024-12-22 0.000027 0.000047 0.000082 0.000145 0.000254 0.000439 0.000775
2024-12-29 0.000025 0.000045 0.000080 0.000145 0.000262 0.000464 0.000841
2025-01-05 0.000023 0.000043 0.000078 0.000144 0.000266 0.000483 0.000898
2025-01-12 0.000021 0.000041 0.000076 0.000145 0.000274 0.000509 0.000970
2025-01-19 0.000020 0.000039 0.000075 0.000146 0.000283 0.000538 0.001049
2025-01-26 0.000018 0.000037 0.000072 0.000144 0.000285 0.000554 0.001106
2025-02-02 0.000017 0.000036 0.000072 0.000146 0.000297 0.000590 0.001204
2025-02-09 0.000016 0.000034 0.000070 0.000145 0.000301 0.000611 0.001273
2025-02-16 0.000015 0.000033 0.000068 0.000146 0.000309 0.000638 0.001359
2025-02-23 0.000014 0.000031 0.000066 0.000144 0.000311 0.000657 0.001427
2025-03-02 0.000013 0.000030 0.000064 0.000143 0.000315 0.000677 0.001501